Destination Trends And Future Predictions

goal Trends And Future Predictions touristry takes move in the environs, which is made up of both military personnel and natural features. The human environment comprises economic, societal and cultural factors and fermentes. The natural environment is made up of plants and animals in their habitat. It is possible to decl ar a distinction amongst the human environment and the natural environment and this is occurrencely useful when discussing the impacts of holidaymakerry. However, it is cardinal to note that, in a real setting, the human environment and the natural environment are interwoven and human activity is both actuateed by and has effects on the natural environment.The main tourer end points and generators of the world in terms of visitor numbers pool and income generationInternational travel, prior to the 1960s, was still for the most embark on the preserve of a wealthy minority who had the time as well as money to drop long distance sea or air travel. M ajor changes in the assist half of the ordinal century led to the rapid and massive growth of the phenomenon known as modern touristry. For example, these changes contri furthered to the Pacific land/S extincth East Asia becoming the fastest growing area for multinational tourism in the lastly 30 years. In 1975, South East Asia and the Pacific Region accounted for only 4 percent of international tourist arrivals, but by 1995 the share of world arrivals had increased to almost 15 percent (Pearce, 1995) and by 2006 to 20 percent (WTO, 2007). It should be noted that this change has occurred at a time when tourist numbers were growing glob all(prenominal)y.Determination of tourism terminal figure trends and future trendsNot only induct peoples motivations and expectations of holidays changed, but geography plays a major part. Where tourism experiences can be obtained is itself subject to variations in get and, hence, supply. For instance, in the mid-seventies it was not suffi cient just to get a suntan, but where one got it was vital (Prosser, 1994). In the archeozoic 1960s, in Britain getting a suntan in Brighton or Blackpool was sufficient, by the early 1970s to contact the desired view the tan had to be brought back to Britain from Benidorm and by the 1980s it had to learn been obtained in Belize. In Australia, Bondi Beach would have been good enough for most sun-seekers in the 1970s, but, by the 1980s, to really arouse ones status it was necessary to get the tan in Bali However, the reference to Bali emphasizes the unpredictability of tourism.Visitor numbers and receipts of tourism destinationsThe increase in the share of international tourist arrivals in the Pacific Region, therefore, indicates a very epoch-making increase in actual tourists between 1975 and 2006. There were approximately 78 million visitor arrivals in the Pacific Region/South East Asia in 1995 (Pearce, 1995). This compares with approximately 100 million in the unite area of N orth and South America and 305 million in Europe in 1995 (Pearce, 1995). With approximately 55 percent of international arrivals, Europe remained, in the early part of the twenty-first century, the single most all important(p) region for international travel arrivals (WTO, 2007). In fact, Europe had five countries in the top ten tourism destinations in 2006. France, Spain, Italy, the United Kingdom and Germany, with France and Spains combined totals accounting for 14 per cent of total international arrivals (WTO, 2007). conclusion of creative thinking for tourismIn the last 15 years or so of the twentieth century, changing attitudes also contributed to a re-evaluation of the nature of the tourist experience. Accompanying the growing realization that tourism takes place in finite geographical space, was the notion that it consumes environmental resources (McKercher, 1993). Increasingly, tourists became concerned intimately the effects their activities were having on the environment (Fennell, 1999). This led to the growth of what close to consider as to a greater cessation(prenominal) environment-friendly forms of tourism, such as ecotourism (Wearing and Neil, 1999). Additionally, some tourists desire experiences that would give them more contact with the population in the destination region and potentially contribute more to the local economy.2.1. Cultural, social and physical features of tourist destinationsIt has indicated that although tourism impacts tend to be multi-faceted, it is conventional to subdivide them nether the following headings economic, socio-cultural and environmental. It is also conventional to present tourism impacts as either positive or negative. This appellation has indicated that such categorization depends upon the apprize position of the observer. As impacts tend to be multi-faceted, often having a conclave of economic, social and environmental dimensions, it may be not that straightforward to classify impacts at one conco mitant tourism destination under the heading of either solely positive or negative. It is quite plausibly that there is a combination of impacts of tourism in relation to a destination and some of these impacts may be viewed as positive, while others are seen as negative. All factors discussed there are important in relation to socio-cultural impacts. Clearly, a key influence is who is involved and the activities engaged in will be significant. Of particular importance, in relation to socio-cultural impacts of tourism, is the nature of both visitors and host populations.2.2. Comparison of the features of top contrasting tourist destinationsIn addition to this data, is the projection that jobs in tourism are likely to increase steadily during the early part of this century, unlike jobs in other economic sectors. These macro-level figures, however, hide the unbalanced nature of global tourism. One untarnished alone, South East Asia, was the single most important tourist destination with over half of all international visitor arrivals in the early part of the twenty-first century and most international arrivals of tourists in Asia were visits from the European countries.2.3. Comparison and contrast between the features of one developing and one guide tourist destinationHowever, the public sector in many developed countries has what may appear at face value to be contradictory roles. Governments may not only attempt to regulate tourism, but they also have a role in marketing tourism (Mason and Mowforth, 1995 Seaton and Bennett, 1996). Marketing is usually associated with promoting tourism, hence not coercive or regulating it. However, there are examples when marketing is used as a dogmatic measure. much(prenominal) an example is that employed by the government agency, English Heritage and the NGO and the National Trust of England. These organizations sound together in the marketing and management of two prehistoric identifys in England. Stonehenge is the most visited prehistoric rock-and-roll circle site in the United Kingdom2.4. Identification of cultural, social and physical featuresOne of the more significant socio-cultural impacts of tourism is referred to as the demonstration effect. This depends on there being visible differences between tourists and hosts. such a situation arises in many developing countries. In the demonstration effect, it is theorized, that simply observing to natural process adopted by an agency, such as a government body. Public policy is, therefore, what governments decide to do or not to do (Dye, 1992). However, it is important to note that prep is not just a process conducted by the government. Private sector organizations, (in tourism this would include, for example, tour operators and airlines), prepare careful plans and usually have a number of policies through which they operation these plans.3.1. Evaluation of the appeal of a current leading tourist destinationSome of the more beneficial impact s of tourism on society include the following the creation of economic consumption the revitalization of poor or non-industrialized regions the rebirth of local arts and crafts and traditional cultural activities the revival of social and cultural life of the local population the renewal of local architectural traditions and the promotion of the need to continue areas of outstanding beauty which have aesthetic and cultural value (Mason, 1995). In developing countries, in particular, tourism can encourage greater social mobility through changes in employment from traditional agriculture to assist industries and may result in higher wages and better job prospects.3.2. The effect of the characteristics of a tourist destinationIt is clear that the resources for tourism, particularly the natural and semi-natural environmental features, but also man-made components of the environment that have become attractions, are actually finite. This has led to calls to make these resources in par ticular, but also the field of tourism generally, more sustainable. With reference to specific destinations, a complete halt to tourism development may be considered desirable by some members of the community, and in a number of cases this may be a bulk view, but it is unlikely that tourism growth will be stopped.3.3. Evaluation and justification for the current leading and developing tourist destinationsThe fact that tourism impacts are multi-faceted contributes to them being difficult to plan for and manage. There are a number of different organizations, groups, and individuals that have an important role to play in tourism planning and management. These key players, in the form of tourists, host community members, industry members, government representatives, and to a slighter extent the media and voluntary organizations, are involved in the day-to-day problems of tourism. In most democratic countries, at least, these individuals, groups, and organizations are in a position to p lay an active part in tourism planning and management.4.1. The issues that affect the popularity of tourist destinationsThe future of tourism in Bali is far from clear after the terrorist bombings at Kuta in October 2002 and the second bombings in almost the same area in October 2005. Bali has become heavily dependent on tourism and what happens after these events may indicate whether the island, in the longer term has become economically over-dependent on tourism. comparable issues to those of Bali in its early stages of tourism development can be found in the Himalayan country, Nepal. As in Bali, tourism was relatively unimportant until the second half of the twentieth century, but more late has come to be very significant to the economy of Nepal. Nepal, the fourth poorest country in the world, is a landlocked Himalayan kingdom relying on entranceway to imports via India. Throughout the period of European global exploration, dating from about 1400 until as recently as the 1950s, Nepal was almost inaccessible and hence it holds attractions for significant numbers of potential tourists. Tourism began in the early 1960s but took off in the 1970s.4.2. The potential for responsible tourism to enhance the host community at worldwide tourist destinationsInternational visitors generally demand easy access to facilities, and these need to be of a relatively high standard, particularly toilets and washing facilities. International visitors also demand good signage, clear notice boards, good maps and sufficiently well-serviced campsites. International visitor numbers are likely to increase significantly in the next 10-15 years, while domestic visitors will remain almost constant. thence the pressure will be to improve and increase facilities for the international visitor, but this is likely to be contend by domestic visitors.4.3. Methods to control issues affecting popularity of tourist destinationVisitor management has been used by a number of different agencies a nd organizations, at different scales and in a variety of locations. In some countries, it has become a major tool in an attempting to control visitor flows. In the United Kingdom, for example, a government task force produced a tourism report that had visitor management as a key strategy. This report, maintaining the Balance, from the UK Ministry of Environment/Department of Employment and published in 1991, focused on the relationship between the environment and the visitor and suggested that there are three main ways of managing visitors. These are as followscontrolling the number of visitors either by limiting numbers to match capacity, or spreading the number end-to-end the year, rather than having them concentrated in time in a focused tourist seasonmodifying visitor behaviorAdapting the resource in ways to enable it to cope with the volume of visitors, and hence become less damaged.In relation to the first of these three methods, that of controlling the numbers of visitors, the report suggested that the initial task is to catch out the carrying capacity.4.4. Managing and organizing activities to enhance potential for responsible tourismManaging visitors is one of the important ways of managing the impacts of tourism, particularly impacts on the environment, but in addition managing socio-cultural and economic impacts. Visitor management has been viewed in the past 25 years or so as a significant way to attempt to reduce the negative impacts of tourism. Often, this has been through attempts to distinguish tourists from areas with large volumes of tourists, the so-called honey pots. Another approach has been to minimize the negative impacts at popular site by hardening (e.g. resurfacing paths and footpaths), or by schemes such as park and ride which keep cars out of the immediate environment of a popular attraction.ConclusionImpacts in terms of visitor numbers were geographically patchy, as Southeast Asia and urban areas appear to have been far less af fected during the summer of 2001 than folksy areas, and may even have benefited from the restrictions on access to rural areas. The government made reassuring promises that it would not close down the countryside and therefore negatively affect leisure and tourism pursuits.